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Only surprises move markets, but watch out for the packaging.
Published weekly by Samuel Mohinani
Views are my own — not financial advice.
Only surprises move markets, but watch out for the packaging.
Rare events are not as rare as the models assume, and how guidance moves the odds.
Some events cause each other, some move together, and some do neither.
So many numbers and why they mean nothing in isolation.
The importance of correctness as we increase leverage and decrease timeframe.